October 5, 2015

After Riga: How Can Europe Promote a More Peaceful Neighbourhood?

June 23, 2015
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Image by EEAS

But a few weeks after the Riga Summit of EU and Eastern Partnership members quietly assembled and published its tentatively worded declaration, it is worth examining what Europe must really do to produce a peaceful neighbourhood. Reticence is understandable—diplomacy over Ukraine is ongoing, and has been demonstrably sensitive to ill-judged pronouncements. Accordingly, this post will not call for an escalation […]

Ukraine after Debaltseve: Appraisal and Prognosis

February 25, 2015
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With news of another “planned and organised” retreat, this time from the strategic hotspot of Debaltseve, it’s time for a reappraisal of the conflict raging in Eastern Ukraine. What follows is a summary of events, a survey of the relevant actors’ interests, activities, and likely courses of action, and a suitably damning prognosis for where this […]

The Unruleable Country: Why Can Nobody Govern Libya?

January 21, 2015
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The Libyan uprising ousted Muammar Gaddafi. A government was put in place in the capital and it looked like democracy had arrived for good. Instead what followed was a breakdown of order and descent into civil war. Now after months of conflict the European Union hailed an agreement on Friday between rival factions to form […]

6,000 Miles or 1 Click? ISIS Aren’t as Far Away as You Think

January 14, 2015
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Washington hasn’t quite figured out the Islamic State (ISIS) yet. The Obama administration’s favourite approach, hands-free intervention using fighter jets and training Iraqi and Kurdish forces, isn’t working. The naïve belief that ISIS (or most enemies for that matter) can be defeated without boots on the ground stems from their belief that ISIS are too far […]

Dealing with ISIS: Drones are No More Use Here

November 10, 2014
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US foreign policy is in disarray. This isn’t really news – Obama has yet to put together a consistent international strategy – but the situation with the Islamic State (commonly referred to as ISIS) is especially uncertain. “The Islamic State’s success wouldn’t just turn the Middle East into a region with failed states; it would […]

Peace in Ukraine: Weighing Russia’s Latest Trophy

September 21, 2014
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Ukraine’s recent signing of the EU Association Agreement had all the hallmarks of a great political triumph—from President Petro Poroshenko’s “Slava Ukrayini!” (Glory to Ukraine) on Twitter, to the bouts of anthem-singing in Ukraine’s parliament, the Verkhovna Rada, every impression that Ukraine had finally prevailed in its year-long political crisis was given. In reality, however, […]